Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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考驗能否穩守十天線

Monday, May 24, 2021 Views2631
上周評論指出,恆指形成四線向下散開的淡勢,料將維持下行態勢,考驗3月低位27505的支持,但上周港股卻呈現回穩態勢,恆指一度升越28600,在上周二最高見到28617,周五收報28458,相對前周恆上升了430點,升幅1.5%,結束了連續三周的跌勢.國指上周五收報10703,按周上升2.9%,亦結束了連續三周的跌勢.科指重越8000大關,上周五收報8025,周升幅達到6.1%.
 
A股三大指數上周表現分化,上證綜指按周微跌4點;滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升0.5%和1.5%.上周公布的4月份經濟數據顯示,中國經濟保持穩定復甦.其中,4月份全國拙模以上工業增加值同比增長9.8%,比2019年同期增長14.1%,兩年平均增長6.8%.4月份社會消費品零售總額同比增長17.7%,比2019年同期增長8.8%,兩年平均增長4.3%;1-4月份全國固定資產投資同比增長19.9%,比2019年同期增長8%,兩年平均增長3.9%.
 
美股上周波動較大,道指一度跌穿34000,在上周三最低見到33473,主要由於加密貨幣暴跌,加上市場憂慮通脹升溫,拖累市場情緒.不過,上周公布的美國經濟數據仍然表現良好,例如5月份Markit服務業製造業和綜合採購經理指數(PMI)初值均創歷史新高,為股市帶來穩定作用.全周計數,道指和標準普爾500指數僅分別下跌0.5%和0.4%,而納指更上升0.3%,結束了連續四周的跌勢.
 

說回港股,雖然恆指呈現回穩態勢,亦補回了5月11日的下跌裂口(該下跌裂口闊166點,介於28453和28287之間),但仍受制於20天線,所以暫宜視為技術性反彈,除非能成功收復50天和100天線(現時分別處於28670和28800附近).而經過上周的反彈,本周將考驗能否企穩10天線之上,該線現時處於28290水平.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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