Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
Phone:
2277 6666

恆指再考驗20000大關

Monday, August 8, 2022 Views2495

上周評論指出,恆指20500支持位守了兩個星期終告失守,料將下破20000大關,下試19900的支持.至於科指,則再度跌穿100天線,料將維持下行態勢,回補5月下旬的上升裂口.其中一個上升裂口介於4233和4251之間,闊18點.另一個上升裂口介於4063和4135之間,闊72點.恆指在上周初果見跌穿20000大關,周二最低見到19516.之後回升並收復20000大關,周五收報20202,相對前周上升45點,升幅0.2%.科指在上周二最低見到4120,補回了5月30日的上升裂口及5月27日的上升裂口的一部分.周五收報4416,按周升近2%.

A股上周表現偏軟,上證綜指和滬深300按周分別下跌0.8%和0.3%,深證成指按周微升3點.經濟數據方面,7月份財新中國製造業採購經理指數錄得50.4,低於6月份1.3個百分點,但仍處於擴張區間.服務業方面,7月份財新中國通用服務業經營活動指數錄得55.5,較6月份上升1個百分點,連續第二個月位於擴張區間,並創出自2021年5月以來新高.數據反映7月疫情形勢向好及管控措施放鬆,助力經濟景氣度持續恢復,而此前受疫情影響更大的服務業恢復勢頭較製造業更為強勁.

美股方面,雖然7月份非農業職位增加高達52.8萬份,遠多於市場預期的25萬份,失業率降至3.5%,但一定程度上紓緩了市場對經濟衰退的憂慮,未有對股市帶來太大影響.道指按周僅微跌0.1%,而納指和標準普爾500指數按周分別上升2.2%和0.4%.

說回港股,恆指20000大關雖失而復得,但回升仍受制於10天移動平均線(該線現時處於20290附近),而9天相對強弱指數仍處於50中軸以下,加上成交仍然低落,反映資金入市意欲並不積極,所以對於上周三至周五的回升,暫宜視為技術性反彈.由於缺乏利好消息,本周恆指料會再考驗20000大關.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
Top of Page
Contact Us
Please contact your account executive or call us now.
Research Department
Tel : (852) 2277 6846
Fax : (852) 2277 6565
Email : businessenquiry@phillip.com.hk

Enquiry & Support
Branches
The Complaint Procedures
About Us
Phillip Securities Group
Join Us
Phillip Network
Phillip Post
Phillip Channel
Latest Promotion
E-Check
Login
Investor Notes
Free Subscribe
Contact Us