Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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受制100天線阻力

Monday, January 17, 2022 Views5359

上周指出恆指形成雙底回升格局,若能突破23600並企穩其上,料可嘗試回補去年12月14日的下跌裂口.該下跌裂口闊119點,介於23937和23818之間.結果恆指不但成功回補上升裂口,更重越24000,在上周四最高見到24561,周五收報24383,相對前周上升了890點,升幅3.8%,是連續第四周上升,上周升勢主要受銀行股和石油股上升及科技股反彈所帶動.至於國指和科指,則分別上升3.9%和4.8%.


A股上周表現偏軟,上證綜指,滬深300和深證成指按周分別下跌1.6%,2%和1.3%.上周公布的經濟數據大致理想,其中,去年12月份CPI同比上漲1.5%,漲幅較11月份回落0.8個百分點;12月份PPI同比上漲10.3%,漲幅比11月份回落2.6個百分點,顯示通脹壓力正在緩和.另一方面,外貿數據表現亮麗,按美元計價,中國12月份出口同比增長20.9%,高於預期的20%增幅.2021年中國進出口規模更首次突破6萬億美元,達到6.05萬億美元.不過,經濟數據沒有為股市帶來太大刺激,相信是因為市場憂慮疫情反覆會拖累經濟.


美股方面,道指,標準普爾500指數和納指上周分別下跌0.3%,0.9%和0.3%.去年12月份CPI同比上漲7%,符合市場預期,沒有對股市帶來太大衝擊,反而是上周五公布的銀行業績令市場感到失望,為股市帶來沽壓.


說回港股,恆指形成上周四高位24561逼近100天線(24658)見到阻力,但跌近50天線(24018)見到支持,本周料會繼續維持於50天和100天線之間波動,波動區間為24000-24650.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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