Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
Phone:
2277 6666

上望25900

Monday, October 18, 2021 Views9243
上周評論指出,恆指重越10天和20天移動平均線,9天相對強弱指亦升越50中軸,料可繼續反彈,但50天線將有阻力,該線處於25480附近.恆指上周一最高見到25437,未能突破50天線,周五收報25331,相對前周上升493點,升幅接近2%,是連續第三周上升.國指上周五收報8966,按周上升2.2%,也是連續第三周上升.科指則連升兩周,周升幅為1.8%.
 
A股上周表現分化,上證綜指和滬深300按周分別下跌0.6%和1%,而深證成指則微升1點.經濟數據方面,9月份進出口總值按美元計價同比上升23.3%,其中,出口總值再創新高,增幅達28.1%,而進口總值則上升17.6%.另一方面,9月份全國居民消費價格(CPI)同比上漲0.7%,漲幅四連降,主要主豬肉價格下降拖累;全國工業生產者出廠價格上漲10.7%,創出2006年有PPI數據以來的歷史新高.PPI-CPI剪刀差擴大至10個百分點.
 
美股方面,最新一周新申領失業金人數回落至29.3萬,接近19個月低點,低於市場預期的31.9萬,為去年3月以來首次低於30萬人.另一方面,9月份生產物價指數(PPI)同比上漲8.6%,略低於市場預期的8.7%,緩解了市場對加息前景的擔憂,加上公司季度業績表現理想,推動美股上揚.道指按周上升1.1%,是自今年6月25日以來的最好表現;至於標準普爾500指數和納指,則分別上升0.75%和0.5%.
 

說回港股,恆指50天線現時降至25400水平,本周有望挑戰50天線.如能升破該線並企穩其上,可上望25900.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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