Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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完成整固再上試50和100天線

Monday, October 19, 2020 Views2966
上周評論指出,恆指成功收後10天和20天移動平均線,料可上試24500,並有望升近50天和100天線(24600-24640)區域.結果,恆指在上周三一度突破24800,最高見到24809,是自9月16日以來的最高位.然而,周四卻大幅回落超過500點,低位跌近24100,可幸周五止跌回升,恆指收報24387,相對前周上升了268點,升幅1.1%,是連續第三周上升.國指亦連升三周,上周五收報9915,周升幅達3.1%.
 
A股上周亦顯著回升,上證綜指重越3300,上周五收報3336,表周上升約2%;滬深300最和深證成指周升幅分別為2.3%和1.8%.經濟數據方15,9月份全國居民消費價格(CPI)同比上漲1.7%,漲幅較8月份收窄0.7個百分點,重回"1時代";全國工業生產者出廠者價格(PPI)同比下降2.1%,降幅較8月份輕微擴大0.1個百分點.另一方面,9月份新增人民幣貸款1.9萬億元,較8月份多增6200億元;社會融資規模新增3.48萬億元,兩者增量均超預期,對實體經濟支持力度增強,對股市有利.
 
美股上周表現反覆,一來因為疫情持續高增,二來臨近總統大選,令市場不明朗因素增加.道指上周五收報28606,按周上升0.1%;標準普爾500指數和納指周升幅分別為0.2%和0.8%.上周公布的美國經濟數據表現參差,例如9月份零售銷售上升1.9%,遠好於市場預期的0.7%增幅,但9月份工業生產卻下降0.6%,與市場預期上升0.5%有頗大出入.
 
說回港股,恆指上周一度上越50天和100天線但未能企穩其上,但回落卻守住10天和20天線之上,可視為一口氣回升超過1600點後的正常整固.完成整固後,本周仍有望再上試50天和100天線,現時兩線分別處於24580和24660區域.
 
本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.
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