Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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再次形成島形轉向

Monday, June 15, 2020 Views2335
上周評論指出,如恆指能升破自4月開始形成的大型長方形頂部阻力24850並企穩其上,下一步可望挑戰100天線阻力,並嘗試補回3月份尚未補回的兩個下跌裂口.其中一個下跌裂口闊482點,介於25140和24658之間,目前已補回一部分.另一個下跌裂口闊763點,介於26084和25321之間,之前只補回了258點.
 
結果,恆指在上周一成功突破24850阻力位,周三一度升穿100天線,並完全補回25140和24658之間的下跌裂口.恆指在上周三最高見到25304,但之後卻連跌兩日,周五一度失守24000,最低見到23895,收報24301,相對前周下跌了469點,跌幅1.9%,結束了連續第二周的升勢.國指在上周三最高見到10224,周五收報9833,按周下跌2.3%,亦結束了連續第二周的升勢.
 
A股三大指數上周表現分化,上證綜指下跌0.4%和,深證成指按周上升0.6%,滬深300按周微升2點.人民銀行上周連續五天展開逆回購操作,操作量共計4200億元,而上周共有2200億元逆回購到期,疊加5000億元中中期借貸便利(mlf)到期,上周人行共淨回籠3000億元.
 
美股方面,由於擔心第二波疫情爆發,加上聯儲局主席鮑威爾上周三講話透露了他對美國經濟復甦的深深的不確定性,令美股三大指數在上周四大幅下挫,周五雖然止跌回升,但全周計數,道指仍下跌了5.55%,標準普爾500指數和納指周跌幅分別為4.8%和2.33%.美股經過急跌和技術性反彈後,短期將看疫情發展. 另一方面,國際貨幣基金組織總裁表示,IMF將進一步下調2020年全球經濟增速預期,料會對股市帶來壓力.
 
說回港股,恆指上周雖一度上破100天線,但未能企穩其上,更再度失守10天線,並形成島形轉向.要扭轉淡勢,必須守住50天線(24015),並迅速補回上周五的下跌裂口(該下跌裂口闊162點,介於24480和24318之間)及收復10天線(24485).


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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